Birdwings Challenge Round Five: Friday February 10th

In this series I will take on Birdwings in head 2 head cash games on draftkings.  Birdwings is one of the most successful cash players in all of DFS.  This series will give you an opportunity to hear my approach to cash as well as my analysis of Birdwings’ rosters.  

The Slate

Another frenzied set of last minute news finally bit me in the butt, while Birdwings flexed his wings and gave me a pummeling.

The Result

 

What We Agreed On

 

With the late news that New Orleans was running with a depleted roster, both of us locked in on Anthony Davis.  Davis was already in a good spot, but the additional usage made it even better, as a lock and load. In addition to Davis, the most popular pick of the night was Collison, not only for his SG eligibility, but again for the additional minutes he would see.   He was an easy plug and play.

My Approach

With Davis and collision as my center piece I wanted to build a balanced roster from there.  Jokic was an option but I made a multi-site decision, taking him on Fantasy Draft and Yahoo, and fading him in cash on Fanduel and DraftKings.  This cost me obviously.  James Johnson was big on my list,  if you ever play him ignore his first half stats, he seems to get more second half minutes and that’s where he gets his big numbers.  I liked his chances to punish Brooklyn on the boards and with some blocks, and he put up a really nice line.

Randle was flat out way too cheap, and was a click and pray.  As my next point guard I was deciding between Dragic, Teague and Conley.  Unfortunately I didn`t have Jrue on my cash radar, another pick that would have paid huge dividends.  I did not like the team I could build with Dragic, and so I dropped down to Teague.  I liked Teague a little better then Conley, because of his matchup and past performance.  He had a monster first half with 20 fantasy points, but disappeared in the second half.

Barnes was another mid range pick in a decently safe spot to get minutes and usage with Lawson out, but he had a worthless start to the game, picking up two fouls and a technical immediately.  He recovered for a lackluster 23 fantasy points.  Lastly the pick that hurt me the most, Jamal Murray.  Now there were literally probably 8-10 value guys in his price range.  Guys like McLemore who scored a billion,  Ellington and McGruder who both hit 7x, and others.  Honestly just about every value guy on the slate went off, except Murray.   I honestly felt Murray was the safest of the bunch.  He had put up over 20 fantasy points in 7 of his last 8 games, and that 8th game was like 18 fantasy points.  His minutes had been super consistent with his scoring, and it was the highest over / under of the slate.   But when Arthur moved to the starting lineup and Barton went to the bench, his usage plummeted, and me not thinking about that crushed me.

Birdwings Approach

Birdwings decided to tandem Jokic and Brow in the same lineup, and it was the right call obviously as he put a monster score up.  This meant he needed some serious value to fill a roster.  In hindsight I can see that even though I don’t like McLemore as a player, 35 minutes on a 3k player is better than 21 minutes on a 3k player I like more.  I don’t mind the play but I don’t think anyone expected him to go off for 47.

Barton was an obvious play, and one I had in most of my rosters but didn’t make it in my DK Cash.  Bledsoe is a curious one for me.   His price had dropped dramatically, and I totally understand him in GPPs.  Playing him in cash to me is a big risk.  Perhaps he saw sommethign or knew something I did not. Never the less, he took the risk and it worked well for him.

Lastly he gambled with another value pick in Montejunas, who did not come through for him, but at this point he did not really need him to!

Wrapping Up

It was only a matter of time before I got a loss, and this one was ugly.  I am still 4-1 and will look to rebound later today!

Photo by Sam Forencich/NBAE via Getty Images

Rob Gardner

Rob got a start as a professional poker player with almost a 10 year career. After Black Friday killed off online poker, Rob made a transition to DFS. Rob has had success in NBA, NFL and MLB, include a win in the fan duel super strike.

lilprog has 40 posts and counting.See all posts by lilprog

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